Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.117917 2.209034 2.303236 2.408173 2.522125 2.642492 2.779726
2025-11-16 1.906165 2.027471 2.157523 2.308213 2.479167 2.668507 2.896093
2025-11-23 1.781428 1.924940 2.083442 2.273314 2.497125 2.755925 3.083037
2025-11-30 1.693151 1.854020 2.036252 2.261011 2.535265 2.865443 3.303751
2025-12-07 1.605973 1.776940 1.974534 2.224062 2.537415 2.927928 3.469498
2025-12-14 1.515738 1.690053 1.894552 2.157472 2.495082 2.927556 3.549279
2025-12-21 1.479123 1.664348 1.885570 2.176260 2.559993 3.069070 3.836432
2025-12-28 1.448653 1.643720 1.880572 2.198232 2.628843 3.220195 4.156010
2026-01-04 1.385822 1.579845 1.817646 2.140355 2.584655 3.207555 4.223377
2026-01-11 1.354218 1.553355 1.800449 2.141067 2.619964 3.310774 4.486442
2026-01-18 1.334295 1.540420 1.799530 2.162749 2.685216 3.463206 4.854241
2026-01-25 1.282751 1.484996 1.740650 2.101631 2.626099 3.418228 4.867042
2026-02-01 1.226653 1.425207 1.678047 2.038513 2.569314 3.386622 4.929371
2026-02-08 1.179944 1.376397 1.628594 1.992013 2.535294 3.390448 5.065471
2026-02-15 1.149610 1.347963 1.605306 1.981419 2.555147 3.485829 5.406870
2026-02-22 1.125124 1.326251 1.590050 1.981314 2.591055 3.613010 5.851688
2026-03-01 1.094198 1.294786 1.559987 1.957643 2.587393 3.669755 6.156703
2026-03-08 1.056420 1.252897 1.513878 1.907726 2.537438 3.636298 6.237374
2026-03-15 1.043061 1.243439 1.512470 1.924553 2.598380 3.817789 6.926646
2026-03-22 1.031116 1.235359 1.512461 1.943195 2.663600 4.017336 7.762642
2026-03-29 1.000000 1.199990 1.472235 1.897429 2.613830 3.977031 7.857326
2026-04-05 0.984741 1.186047 1.462221 1.898356 2.646078 4.112315 8.592681
2026-04-12 0.975252 1.179742 1.462879 1.915979 2.709370 4.324635 9.749510